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Vikander could also be in this category for her lead role in The Danish Girl, or she could get a lead nomination and a supporting nomination this year, for different movies. Mara is really a lead who will probably wind up in supporting. This is one of the trickiest categories to predict at the moment, largely because of the looming specter of category fraud. Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Hateful Eight Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs Rooney Mara, Carol Alicia Vikander, Ex Machina Jane Fonda, Youth Either deserves a spot in this estimable crowd. Jackson and Walton Goggins both manage to stand out, big time. Richard Lawson BEST ACTRESSĬate Blanchett, Carol Brie Larson, Room Jennifer Lawrence, Joy Charlotte Rampling, 45 Years Saoirse Ronan, Brooklynĭream Nomination: The Hateful Eight is a big, busy, violent movie, but Samuel L. This category feels like one of the few sure-things in a wonderfully, maddeningly up-in-the-air Oscar season.ĭream Nomination: Jason Segel did such lovely, natural work as Davidįoster Wallace in The End of the Tour and yet has been largely overlooked for awards consideration. Among the other likely nominees, perhaps only Damon stands a chance of an upset. Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl Matt Damon, The Martian Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs Bryan Cranston, TrumboĬonventional wisdom has DiCaprio pretty much a lock for winning this thing.

Remember the year that the DGA nominated both Ben Affleck and Kathryn Bigelow and the Oscars snubbed both? This year is even harder to predict, and wild things could happen.ĭream Nomination: Ryan Coogler’s confident, muscular direction of Creed is a stunning statement of intent from a young director, on the level of Benh Zeitlin’s Oscar-nominated work on Beasts of the Southern Wild.Would that he could break through this white, middle-aged pack. Which is why we’re giving the edge to Carol’s quiet craftsman Todd Haynes over Mad Max: Fury Road’s George Miller-but barely. And as Variety’s Kris Tapley has argued very convincingly, smaller, artier films tend to fare much better with the voters in the Academy’s director branch than the enormous DGA votership. Todd Haynes, Carol Alejandro González Iñárritu, The Revenant Tom McCarthy, Spotlight Adam McKay, The Big Short Ridley Scott, The Martianįour of these five were recently honored by the Directors Guild of America, a group whose nominations usually line up very closely with the Academy. Dream Nomination: If we‘re betting on long shots, you could do worse than betting on Creed, which now seems destined to pick up a supporting actor trophy for Rocky Balboa Sylvester Stallone.